Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.694180 7.383515 8.148069 9.065689 10.146212 11.389701 12.946137
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.541163 6.429878 7.496335 8.895477 10.722456 13.087770 16.491543
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.897270 5.865510 7.087307 8.788663 11.178546 14.559258 20.009242
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.404303 5.395124 6.691639 8.579094 11.384863 15.650704 23.240537
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.077606 5.091517 6.460409 8.533135 11.777922 17.062119 27.450483
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.815998 4.842499 6.265876 8.496333 12.154190 18.506137 32.293147
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.665086 4.728017 6.242856 8.703640 12.946895 20.866676 40.223043
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.408913 4.440719 5.935568 8.417831 12.834559 21.472355 44.377856
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.183690 4.181403 5.647013 8.126777 12.660867 21.904873 48.356688
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.011887 3.988605 5.443701 7.953574 12.675148 22.740107 54.113028
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.887543 3.857989 5.325840 7.911525 12.931894 24.192627 63.112289
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.882094 3.905457 5.491493 8.382919 14.301652 28.808086 89.829972
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.798808 3.835916 5.475322 8.550093 15.133695 32.599637 122.079184
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.660364 3.673026 5.294488 8.393085 15.232003 34.411330 148.944535
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.545483 3.540145 5.153363 8.295093 15.448975 36.732156 188.858516
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.425495 3.391969 4.974864 8.102718 15.400798 38.171485 229.191085
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.339518 3.294064 4.876418 8.060505 15.723130 41.168729 311.243425
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.261736 3.205151 4.787155 8.026695 16.062717 44.493770 442.806117
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.222136 3.176972 4.803703 8.217069 17.057939 51.435793 861.157772
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.122583 3.043280 4.619902 7.954556 16.716203 51.912463 1086.548511
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.028773 2.915539 4.440436 7.686852 16.318488 51.956165 1345.572823
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.955352 2.819446 4.314379 7.527362 16.219793 53.607873 2017.946232
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.902162 2.755633 4.244793 7.488621 16.485436 57.589257 4555.171946